Delineate and evaluate the argument and specific claims in a text, assessing whether the reasoning is valid and the evidence is relevant and sufficient; identify false statements and fallacious reasoning.
Woolly Bear Winter- http://blog.timesunion.com/gardening/woolly-bear-winter/1311/
According to this article, a Wolly Bear catapiller can predict whether: we will have a mild or harsh winter based on the brown color on it's body. This winter should be a mild winter. "I’ve only seen a couple of Woolly Bears so far this fall but both have had far more brown than usual. This would indicate that we have a mild winter ahead." This statment is completely unconclusive/ false. I have heard another myth that if squirrel's tails are "puffier" then usual,then we are going to have a harsh winter. Both my mom and grandma have noticed that the squirrel's tails are "puffier then usual". So this proves that the Wolly Bear's prediction isn't one hundred percent true. Also, how does this blogger know what the normal amount of brown color in a Woolly Bear catapillar look like?
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